This paper argues that three key reasons account for the fall of the Muslim Brotherhood: first, the Brotherhood failed to effectively and positively handle power; second, organizational problems muddled the Brotherhood’s calculations and exposed its weakness and lack of political vision; and third, the deep state successfully lured the Brotherhood into peripheral battles that exhausted the Brotherhood and caused it to fail. This was achieved by means of vicious campaigns of incitement and distortion that significantly contributed to turning public opinion against the Brotherhood, and led to a large turnout for the demonstrations of June 30, 2013 demanding an end to Morsi’s rule.
The analysis reaches two main conclusions: first, it argues that attempts to exclude and eradicate the Muslim Brotherhood from Egyptian political life are not just bound to fail, but will push the country towards darker political, security, and strategic scenarios. Second, it stresses the urgent need for the Brotherhood to re-examine its mistakes, ideology, and political discourse in order for it to survive as an active and influential force and avoid internal divisions and schism.
*This study was originally published in the September 2013 issue of Siyasat Arabia (pp. 17-23), published by the Arab Center for Research and Policy Studies (ACRPS).
It was translated by the ACRPS Translation and English Editing Department. The original Arabic version can be found here.
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